Current WXSIM Forecast

Thursday, 08-May-2025 11:00 pm

Rest of
tonight
Clear
Clear
Low: 54°
Friday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 83°
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 54°
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 86°
Saturday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 55°
Sunday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 82°
Sunday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 53°
Monday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 79°
Monday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 54°

Current NWS Forecast

Thu, 08-May-2025 10:05pm CDT

Tonight

Tonight: Clear
Clear

Lo 50 °F
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 83 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 52 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 88 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 57 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 86 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 57 °F
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 85 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 59 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 05-08-25 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
05-08-25 52   57 78   78 50   48 82   78 52   49 86   83 54   52 84   80
05-07-25 55 60.8°F 59 75 79.0 °F 78 52   58 75   73 48   49 79   74 51   47 84   76
05-06-25 48 63.0°F 57 78 80.7 °F 81 55 60.8°F 59 74 79.0 °F 72 51   54 77   71 50   47 81   72
05-05-25 47 60.4°F 53 76 81.6 °F 79 48 63.0°F 53 78 80.7 °F 76 55 60.8°F 54 72 79.0 °F 69 51   51 74   70
05-04-25 41 57.7°F 45 73 77.0 °F 74 45 60.4°F 46 77 81.6 °F 74 51 63.0°F 49 78 80.7 °F 75 54 60.8°F 54 71 79.0 °F 68
05-03-25 38 47.8°F 39 69 71.8 °F 69 42 57.7°F 43 73 77.0 °F 74 45 60.4°F 44 77 81.6 °F 74 49 63.0°F 46 77 80.7 °F 71
05-02-25 48 42.1°F 49 61 64.7 °F 62 39 47.8°F 39 68 71.8 °F 66 42 57.7°F 42 72 77.0 °F 70 45 60.4°F 44 75 81.6 °F 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ     16.7     33.3     20.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 11.1   7.3 3.8   2.1 12.1   9.9 4.0   5.6 12.2   13.2 4.8   7.6 12.1   13.4 6.1   10.1
Net Error -9.1   -5.0 -3.8   -2.0 -12.1   -9.9 -4.0   -5.6 -12.2   -13.2 -4.8   -7.6 -12.1   -13.4 -6.1   -10.1
Std Dev 5.8   4.4 1.8   1.3 8.4   7.5 2.7   3.7 11.1   11.9 4.3   6.7 12.1   13.4 6.1   10.1

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-08-19 64 ↑   80 80   63 67   81 87   72 70   86 87   72 72   89 89   70
09-07-19 60 78.7 °F 82 82 64.7°F 63 63   80 79   63 65   85 86   71 70   88 87   72
09-06-19 65 ↑ 85.5 °F 91 84 64.9°F 64 62 ↑ 78.7 °F 84 84 64.7°F 65 63   75 80   61 66   85 87   70
09-05-19 65 ↑ 96.4 °F 95 94 ↓ 69.5°F 66 65 ↑ 85.5 °F 87 85 64.9°F 62 62 78.7 °F 84 82 64.7°F 64 64   77 80   64
09-04-19 55 ↑ 81.3 °F 84 81 65.5°F 60 65 96.4 °F 93 93 69.5°F 64 66 85.5 °F 86 87 64.9°F 60 63 78.7 °F 79 83 64.7°F 63
09-03-19 71 ↑ 83.0 °F 92 87 ↓ 55.9°F 62 56 ↑ 81.3 °F 85 81 65.5°F 59 65 96.4 °F 93 92 69.5°F 65 65 85.5 °F 86 86 64.9°F 60
09-02-19 66 90.0 °F 89 89 76.3°F 71 72 83.0 °F 89 88 55.9°F 59 57 81.3 °F 85 81 65.5°F 62 65 96.4 °F 94 89 69.5°F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1
% Succ     33.3     33.3     20.0     20.0     25.0     25.0     66.7     33.3
Ave Error 22.2   3.8 20.0   3.8 21.0   4.0 22.1   3.7 23.0   3.2 19.4   3.4 22.5   1.1 19.6   4.4
Net Error -22.2   3.0 20.0   -1.8 -21.0   2.6 22.1   -2.3 -23.0   1.5 19.4   -3.4 -22.5   -0.5 19.6   -4.4
Std Dev 10.9   2.9 9.8   2.4 14.2   2.8 14.1   2.9 20.1   3.0 16.8   3.2 22.5   1.1 19.6   4.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-08-19 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-08-19 80   80 67   64 87   82 70   72 87   92 72   72 89   89 71   72
09-07-19 82 78.7 °F 82 63 63.8°F 65 79   80 65   67 86   83 70   71 87   88 70   72
09-05-19 94 ↓ 85.5 °F 94 65 ↑ 63.9°F 67 85 78.7 °F 87 62 63.8°F 64 82   82 64   64 80   79 65   64
09-04-19 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 60 93 85.5 °F 94 66 63.9°F 65 87 78.7 °F 86 63 63.8°F 64 83   83 62   66
09-03-19 87 ↓ 91.1 °F 91 56 ↑ 56.3°F 60 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 85 65 65.5°F 59 92 85.5 °F 93 65 63.9°F 63 86 78.7 °F 87 62 63.8°F 59
09-02-19 89 83.0 °F 88 72 55.9°F 72 88 ↓ 91.1 °F 89 57 56.3°F 59 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 85.5 °F 92 63 63.9°F 63
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 83 69 69.1°F 65 90 83.0 °F 88 74 55.9°F 74 86 91.1 °F 89 56 56.3°F 60 75 81.3 °F 84 55 65.5°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 5 1 1 0 3 2 1 0 4 2 0 0 2 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 83.3   16.7 20.0   0.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   0.0 100.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 4.2   3.6 3.2   5.6 4.8   5.5 4.6   5.7 5.1   4.9 0.7   2.3 5.7   5.8 4.4   3.4
Net Error 1.8   2.9 2.6   2.4 3.5   4.7 3.7   3.1 2.4   3.9 -0.1   -0.4 1.5   5.8 -4.4   -3.4
Std Dev 3.0   2.9 5.8   5.3 3.9   4.0 3.9   4.9 4.7   4.4 0.6   2.3 5.7   5.8 4.4   3.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   81 63   65 79   78 65   64 86   82 70   70 87   86 70   73
09-06-19 84 85.5 °F 84 62 ↑ 63.9°F 60 84   81 63   62 80   72 66   61 87   84 68   72
09-05-19 94 ↓ 83.0 °F 96 65 ↑ 55.9°F 67 85 85.5 °F 87 62 63.9°F 65 82   82 64   64 80   78 65   64
09-04-19 81 81.3 °F 83 65 65.5°F 63 93 83.0 °F 93 66 55.9°F 65 87 85.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 64 83   83 62   66
09-03-19 87 ↓ 91.1 °F 91 56 ↑ 56.3°F 64 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 85 65 65.5°F 61 92 83.0 °F 93 65 55.9°F 64 86 85.5 °F 86 62 63.9°F 60
09-02-19 89 83.0 °F 87 72 55.9°F 71 88 ↓ 91.1 °F 88 57 56.3°F 59 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 83.0 °F 92 63 55.9°F 63
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 85 69 69.1°F 67 90 83.0 °F 89 74 55.9°F 73 86 91.1 °F 89 56 56.3°F 60 75 81.3 °F 85 55 65.5°F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 4 0 2 1 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   66.7 66.7   0.0 40.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.3   3.4 4.7   7.1 4.2   4.9 6.3   6.9 4.0   3.8 2.7   4.1 4.3   4.4 6.5   5.2
Net Error 1.4   2.9 3.7   4.2 2.6   3.6 5.3   5.1 1.3   2.8 1.9   1.9 0.1   4.4 -1.8   -0.4
Std Dev 3.9   4.5 6.0   5.2 4.4   4.2 5.4   5.3 3.7   3.7 2.5   4.1 4.3   4.4 6.5   5.2

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   78 63   63 79   80 65   65 86   83 70   70 87   87 70   73
09-06-19 84 85.5 °F 85 62 ↑ 63.9°F 62 84   81 63   63 80   71 66   62 87   81 68   70
09-05-19 94 83.0 °F 95 65 ↑ 55.9°F 69 85 85.5 °F 88 62 63.9°F 64 82   84 64   66 80   80 65   67
09-04-19 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 82 65 65.5°F 62 93 83.0 °F 94 66 55.9°F 65 87 85.5 °F 86 63 63.9°F 63 83   81 62   64
09-03-19 87 ↓ 83.0 °F 90 56 ↑ 55.9°F 60 81 ↓ 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 92 83.0 °F 93 65 55.9°F 65 86 85.5 °F 86 62 63.9°F 61
09-02-19 90 ↓ 83.0 °F 90 72 55.9°F 72 88 ↓ 83.0 °F 88 57 55.9°F 60 81 81.3 °F 84 65 65.5°F 61 89 83.0 °F 92 63 55.9°F 64
09-01-19 82 84.8 °F 82 69 69.1°F 67 90 83.0 °F 86 74 55.9°F 71 86 83.0 °F 87 56 55.9°F 60 75 81.3 °F 84 55 65.5°F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 4 1 2 0 3 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 66.7   16.7 40.0   0.0 60.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.4   5.0 4.6   6.8 4.6   4.8 6.3   6.6 3.5   4.3 2.7   4.7 4.3   4.1 6.5   4.8
Net Error 2.9   3.9 3.8   4.3 4.2   4.8 5.4   4.8 3.3   4.3 2.0   2.0 0.1   4.1 -1.8   0.6
Std Dev 4.0   4.5 6.0   6.0 4.6   4.4 5.4   5.3 3.1   4.2 2.5   4.4 4.3   4.1 6.5   4.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 82   64 64   78 79   65 66   81 87   69 70   86 88   72 72   88
09-06-19 84 ↓ 63.9°F 62 61 85.5 °F 81 81   63 62   71 78   62 65   81 87   70 68   85
09-05-19 94 55.9°F 71 65 ↑ 83.0 °F 88 85 63.9°F 65 62 85.5 °F 84 84   66 64   80 81   67 66   84
09-04-19 82 ↓ 65.5°F 62 65 81.3 °F 92 93 55.9°F 65 63 83.0 °F 86 86 63.9°F 63 62 85.5 °F 81 83   64 64   76
09-03-19 90 ↓ 55.9°F 60 55 ↑ 83.0 °F 84 80 65.5°F 61 63 81.3 °F 93 93 55.9°F 65 66 83.0 °F 86 86 63.9°F 61 62 85.5 °F 74
09-02-19 90 ↓ 55.9°F 72 71 ↑ 83.0 °F 88 86 ↓ 55.9°F 59 53 83.0 °F 84 81 65.5°F 61 64 81.3 °F 92 91 55.9°F 64 64 83.0 °F 87
09-01-19 82 69.1°F 68 67 84.8 °F 87 89 55.9°F 71 73 83.0 °F 87 87 55.9°F 60 57 83.0 °F 84 78 65.5°F 62 61 81.3 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     33.3     16.7     20.0     40.0     25.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 26.0   7.0 19.4   4.7 27.2   6.6 20.4   4.2 26.5   4.7 21.0   4.8 23.2   4.8 20.9   9.4
Net Error 26.0   4.8 -19.4   3.2 27.2   4.8 -20.4   3.6 26.5   2.0 -21.0   2.6 23.2   0.6 -20.9   1.7
Std Dev 13.4   6.4 9.5   3.5 18.8   5.0 13.0   4.5 23.0   4.4 18.2   4.2 23.2   4.8 20.9   9.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 64   64 79   80 66   66 87   81 70   70 88   87 72   72 89   89
09-06-19 61 63.9°F 64 81 85.5 °F 79 62 ↑   63 78   76 65   63 87   84 68   71 86   89
09-05-19 65 ↑ 65.1°F 72 85 96.4 °F 90 62 63.9°F 67 84 85.5 °F 84 64   65 81   75 66   63 87   80
09-04-19 65 55.9°F 64 93 83.0 °F 92 63 ↑ 65.1°F 65 86 96.4 °F 85 62 63.9°F 62 83 85.5 °F 81 64   65 78   77
09-03-19 55 ↑ 56.3°F 61 80 91.1 °F 85 63 55.9°F 61 93 83.0 °F 94 66 65.1°F 64 86 96.4 °F 87 62 63.9°F 61 81 85.5 °F 78
09-02-19 71 ↑ 73.0°F 73 86 ↓ 90.0 °F 89 53 ↑ 56.3°F 60 81 91.1 °F 84 64 55.9°F 59 91 83.0 °F 93 64 65.1°F 63 83 96.4 °F 88
09-01-19 67 69.1°F 67 89 84.8 °F 87 73 ↑ 73.0°F 71 87 90.0 °F 86 57 56.3°F 60 78 91.1 °F 85 61 55.9°F 62 87 83.0 °F 93
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 0 1 2 2 1 1 3 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3     16.7 40.0   40.0 20.0   20.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 2.9   3.7 7.5   5.2 2.9   2.8 7.0   7.0 2.9   2.5 8.5   7.5 2.7   3.7 7.3   8.6
Net Error 0.1   3.0 -2.8   -1.5 -0.0   2.0 -3.0   -2.6 2.0   1.0 -4.5   -2.5 0.7   0.4 -4.6   -2.0
Std Dev 3.1   3.4 4.3   3.2 2.7   2.4 5.5   5.7 2.6   2.1 7.9   6.7 2.7   3.7 7.3   8.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-07-19 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-07-19 64   64 79   83 66   68 87   83 70   70 88   87 72   72 89   89
09-06-19 61 67.2°F 62 81 85.5 °F 81 62 ↑   63 78   75 65   63 87   84 68   71 86   88
09-05-19 65 ↑ 67.1°F 72 85 96.4 °F 88 62 67.2°F 65 84 85.5 °F 84 64   65 81   75 66   63 87   80
09-04-19 65 55.9°F 62 93 83.0 °F 93 63 ↑ 67.1°F 65 86 96.4 °F 86 62 67.2°F 62 83 85.5 °F 82 64   65 78   77
09-03-19 55 ↑ 68.7°F 60 80 91.1 °F 85 63 55.9°F 62 93 83.0 °F 95 66 67.1°F 64 86 96.4 °F 86 62 67.2°F 61 81 85.5 °F 77
09-02-19 71 ↑ 69.4°F 74 86 ↓ 90.0 °F 90 53 ↑ 68.7°F 60 81 91.1 °F 84 64 55.9°F 59 91 83.0 °F 93 64 67.1°F 63 83 96.4 °F 88
09-01-19 67 55.9°F 68 89 83.0 °F 88 73 ↑ 69.4°F 71 87 90.0 °F 87 57 68.7°F 60 78 91.1 °F 85 61 55.9°F 62 87 83.0 °F 94
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0     16.7     20.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.3   6.9 7.8   5.7 7.1   4.1 7.0   6.8 6.5   5.0 8.5   7.5 4.5   5.5 7.3   9.3
Net Error -0.0   2.3 -2.5   -0.7 -2.9   -1.1 -3.0   -2.0 -2.5   -3.5 -4.5   -2.5 -1.1   -1.4 -4.6   -2.0
Std Dev 5.1   3.3 4.4   3.9 4.8   3.0 5.5   5.7 5.7   4.4 7.9   6.8 4.5   5.5 7.3   9.3

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.